Spot the unfounded assumption…
Posted by TFG on June 27th, 2008
The National Snow and Ice Data Center are calculating the odds of an ice free arctic this summer. Very interesting cascade at work. Basically, when you alter the operating assumptions of a large complex system you don’t fully understand…
Go on, it’s a fun game. It can even be quite lucrative, if you want to play it. Zillions of Chicken Littles will join you, and many will have grant money or book contracts.




June 28th, 2008 at 11:27 pm
Apparently none of these people watch Ice Road Truckers or Deadliest Catch. If they did, or if they actually went out into the weather they’d have plenty of freeze/thaw patterns to study from numerous places. Oh wait, if they did that they’d lose all their grant money.
Climate models are wholly dependent on data interpreted by humans. And if those humans have an agenda, well, we all can see where this is headed. Even worse is if they’re using climate models that were fundamentally wrong in the first place.
June 29th, 2008 at 12:46 pm
Sure, but what are we going to do about the crisis of the expanding Antacrtic ice shelf?
June 29th, 2008 at 12:47 pm
Or the Antarctic?
June 30th, 2008 at 1:11 am
We’ll wait until some Hollywood circus poodle has a big televised fundraiser and then we can all be properly concerned about yet another celebrity-sponsored cause.
June 30th, 2008 at 8:42 am
I say we relocate the polar bears there, and they can eat penguins instead of seals.